A quarterly report from a leading Chinese chemical fiber company has refocused market attention on the profit distribution pattern across the refining and polyester chain. Hengyi Petrochemical expects its H1 2026 net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 5.5 to 6.0 billion yuan, a year-on-year surge of 2,326% to 2,547%. This figure not only sets a new profit record for the company but also highlights the strategic value of overseas refining capacity amid global capacity misallocation.

Core Profit Engine

The performance forecast shows that in Q1 2026, Hengyi achieved a net profit of 1.995 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of over 3,700%. In Q2, quarterly net profit further climbed to a range of 3.5 to 4.0 billion yuan, with a sequential growth rate of 76% to 101%.

The direct driver of the profit explosion is its refinery project in Brunei. The refined oil market in Southeast Asia has long been in a state of tight supply and demand, with crack spreads widening significantly in early 2026. As the only Chinese chemical fiber company with an overseas refinery, Hengyi's Brunei facility benefits from local tax incentives, market-based pricing, and low shipping and insurance costs. In Q2, the refinery operated at full capacity with full sales, maintaining high per-ton product margins.

Meanwhile, after years of overcapacity in the PTA and polyester sectors, industry self-discipline and 'anti-involution' measures are beginning to show results. The supply-demand structure has substantially improved, driving margin recovery in polyester. The ramp-up of the nylon chain also contributed incremental profits.

Three Strategic Projects Reshaping the Industry

Amid strong profit growth, Hengyi is accelerating three strategic construction projects. The Phase II Brunei refinery project has been fully launched, with an optimized design capacity of 12 million tons per year, primarily producing high-value products such as diesel, PX, and benzene. It is scheduled for completion by the end of 2028. Once operational, the total capacity of the Brunei refinery will reach 20 million tons per year.

The Xinjiang coal-to-ethylene glycol project plans to produce 2.4 million tons of high-quality fiber-grade coal-based ethylene glycol annually, with expected startup in H1 2028. This project will help the company reduce its reliance on crude oil as a single feedstock.

The Jingzhou circular new materials project in Hubei focuses on recycling waste textiles, with a planned annual capacity of 300,000 tons of circular new materials. The construction period is 18 months. This project aligns with China's 'dual carbon' strategy and waste textile recycling policies. Upon completion, it will create a feedstock structure integrating 'oil, coal, and fabric'.

The common characteristics of these three projects are large-scale investment and long construction periods. However, once completed, they will significantly enhance the company's profit stability and risk resilience across the entire value chain.

Sustainability of the Boom

Market opinion is divided on the sustainability of Hengyi's current profit surge. From an industry perspective, the tight supply-demand balance for refined oil products in Southeast Asia is unlikely to reverse quickly. The high profitability of the Brunei refinery is expected to last for the full year. The PTA and polyester sectors have seen a substantial improvement in capacity structure, making margin recovery sustainable.

However, risks cannot be ignored.
- Sharp fluctuations in international crude oil prices: A rapid price decline could lead to inventory write-downs, and narrowing crack spreads would directly impact refining profitability.
- Project execution uncertainty: The Phase II Brunei and coal-to-ethylene glycol projects involve huge capital outlays and face risks of delays and funding pressures.
- Geographic concentration risk: With core refining capacity concentrated in a single region (Brunei), changes in host country policies or geopolitical conditions could impact cost advantages and feedstock supply stability.
- Downstream demand risk: If textile end-user demand falls short of expectations, it will affect the pace of profit recovery in the polyester segment.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Monitor the stability of PX and polyester feedstock supply from Hengyi's Brunei refinery; its overseas capacity advantage may offer cost-competitive pricing. - With the Phase II Brunei and coal-to-ethylene glycol projects coming online after 2028, the feedstock supply landscape may shift. Evaluate long-term procurement contract terms in advance. - As the waste textile recycling project progresses, recycled fiber feedstock supply will increase. Look for procurement opportunities and cost advantages in related products.

For Foreign Trade Companies - The widening spread for refined oil and chemical products in Southeast Asia may affect the export competitiveness of Chinese polyester products. Track regional price spreads dynamically. - Hengyi's Brunei refinery is operating at full capacity, meaning its PX and other chemical exports are stable. Explore cooperation opportunities with Hengyi in the Southeast Asian market. - Monitor progress on the waste textile recycling project. Strong policy support in this area may create new export categories for recycled fiber.

Overall, Hengyi's H1 profit surge is the result of years of overseas deployment intersecting with the industry cycle. Short-term earnings certainty is relatively high, while medium-to-long-term prospects depend on the execution pace and results of the three major projects. For upstream and downstream players, understanding this 'oil-coal-fabric' integration strategy is key to grasping the competitive landscape of the chemical fiber industry over the next five years.

资料来源:化纤邦查看原始资料
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