On September 7, 2026, the benchmark price of nylon DTY in the domestic market stood at 17,000 CNY/ton, up 1.55% from the beginning of the month. Compared with the same period last year, the price center has clearly shifted upward. This level sits at the mid-to-high range of the one-year statistical interval, about 25% above the year's low of 13,560 CNY/ton, yet still nearly 2,000 CNY below the high of 18,960 CNY/ton. The price trend signals that the bottom support for nylon DTY is firming, but the upside room is not fully open.

Price Range and Industry Signals

From the annual statistics, the average price of nylon DTY over the past year was 15,353.01 CNY/ton, with a median of 16,260 CNY/ton. The current price exceeds the average by approximately 10.7% but is only about 4.5% above the median. This distribution indicates that the price center has risen from last year's low range but has not yet entered a strong range. The asymmetry between the top gap of -1,960 CNY and the bottom gap of 3,440 CNY suggests limited market acceptance of high prices; once cost-side support weakens, prices may quickly fall.

For buyers, the current price level means procurement costs have increased by about 10% compared to the average of the previous year, directly compressing the profit margins of downstream fabric mills. For factories, if the 17,000 CNY/ton selling price can be maintained, it will significantly improve cash flow, but they must be wary that downstream resistance to high-priced raw materials may suppress new orders.

Cost Transmission and Demand Resilience

The price fluctuation of nylon DTY is essentially a result of cost transmission along the caprolactam-nylon chip-spinning chain. Recent volatility in international oil prices and higher pure benzene prices have pushed up caprolactam costs, serving as the direct driver of this price increase. Meanwhile, the application share of nylon fabrics in sportswear and outdoor equipment has risen, showing strong demand resilience, which allows cost increases to pass downstream smoothly.

It is worth noting that the current price is at a mid-to-high level over the year, but the daily increase is zero, indicating the market has entered a wait-and-see phase. Both buyers and sellers are assessing whether raw material costs can sustain high prices and whether end consumption can accept fabric price increases. This stalemate often signals an imminent price direction choice, and enterprises in industrial belts should prepare for both scenarios.

Industrial Belt Response and Operational Strategies

In nylon industrial clusters such as Changle in Fujian and Shengze in Jiangsu, some factories have started adjusting production plans, prioritizing high value-added differentiated products to hedge against price risks of standard specifications. Traders have reduced spot hoarding and shifted to order-based purchasing to avoid inventory depreciation. This cautious sentiment is reflected in the recent sideways price movement.

From the annual data, the current price has a bottom gap of 3,440 CNY from the year's low, implying that if demand exceeds expectations, prices still have upward potential; however, the top gap of -1,960 CNY also warns that selling pressure will intensify near historical highs. For foreign trade enterprises, RMB exchange rate fluctuations and seasonal changes in overseas orders will become key variables affecting the export competitiveness of nylon DTY.

For Buyers - Batch purchasing: Avoid one-time large purchases at current levels; split into 3-4 batches according to production cycles to lower average cost. - Monitor raw materials: Keep an eye on caprolactam price trends; if raw materials show a pullback, delay purchases to wait for better prices. - Lock long-term contracts: Sign quarterly or semi-annual agreements with suppliers to lock part of the raw material at current prices, hedging against upside risks.

For Factories - Optimize product mix: Increase the share of differentiated products (e.g., functional nylon, recycled nylon) to reduce reliance on standard DTY. - Control inventory levels: Maintain finished goods inventory below 15 days of sales to avoid forced price cuts during downturns. - Strengthen cost management: Reduce unit energy consumption through process improvements or centralized procurement to enhance profit safety margins.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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