The domestic ring-spun viscose yarn market is undergoing a subtle repricing. On September 8, quotes showed Xinxiang's Northern Fiber at 18,500 CNY/ton, while three Shandong Weifang mills ranged from 18,200 to 18,400 CNY/ton, creating a regional spread up to 300 CNY, though internal Shandong difference narrowed to 200 CNY. This pattern reflects a tug-of-war between raw material costs and downstream demand.

Regional Price Divergence

Public data reveals Shandong Weifang as a price trough. Weifang Haofang led at 18,200 CNY/ton, while Guanjie Textile and Luyuan Textile both quoted 18,400 CNY/ton, a mere 200 CNY gap, indicating intense local competition and pricing convergence. In contrast, Northern Fiber in Xinxiang quoted 18,500 CNY/ton, 300 CNY higher than Shandong's lowest.

This divergence is not coincidental. Weifang hosts dense viscose yarn capacity, prompting flexible pricing to secure orders; Xinxiang's less concentrated capacity leads to stickier quotes. For buyers, equivalent yarn quality may differ by hundreds of CNY per ton across regions.

Price Trend Outlook

Current quotes have retreated from earlier highs, driven by softening viscose staple fiber (VSF) prices. As the main cost component, a 100 CNY/ton drop in VSF reduces support for ring-spun 30S yarn by roughly 150 CNY/ton, based on a 1.1-1.2 loss factor.

Downstream demand remains weak. Fabric mills and garment makers are slowing restocking, adopting a wait-and-see stance, leading to mostly small urgent orders. This combination of falling raw materials and weak demand will likely keep yarn prices under pressure short-term. However, if VSF stabilizes, further downside may be limited.

Industry Transmission and Impact

Price divergence has notable chain effects. Shandong's low pricing may force Henan mills to follow, compressing average processing margins. Current processing fees for ring-spun 30S viscose yarn are near historical lows, pushing some small mills toward breakeven.

For exporters, currency fluctuation is a key variable. If the yuan appreciates, dollar-denominated export contracts yield fewer yuan when converted, while domestic procurement costs remain yuan-fixed, squeezing profits from both ends.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Monitor the price gap between Weifang and Xinxiang; if exceeding 250 CNY/ton, consider cross-regional sourcing after accounting for freight and lead times. - Leverage the downward window to negotiate short-term floating price contracts, avoiding high-priced inventory. - Prioritize mills with stable quotes and quality certifications (e.g., Guanjie, Luyuan) to mitigate quality risks.

For Exporters - Include currency risk clauses or use forward settlement tools in export contracts to lock in margins. - Track VSF futures and spot trends to adjust procurement timing, preventing cost spikes from raw material rebounds. - Diversify into emerging markets like Southeast Asia to reduce reliance on a single market's demand volatility.

资料来源:中华纺织网查看原始资料
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