A 660 yuan-per-ton spread for the same specification of polyester DTY within the same Zhejiang production hub would have been almost unthinkable two years ago. On September 24, 2026, quotes for 150D/48F semi-dull low-elasticity first-grade yarn ranged from 10,250 to 10,910 yuan per ton across Shaoxing and Hangzhou, with Tongkun, Rongsheng, Kaishi, Senkai, and Yongsheng showing no overlap in pricing. This divergence is not accidental—it signals a deeper adjustment in the polyester supply chain, from cost transmission to capacity digestion.

The Real Logic Behind Price Divergence

Consider the data first. Tongkun quoted 10,910 yuan/ton, Rongsheng 10,700, Kaishi 10,650, Senkai 10,420, and Yongsheng 10,250 in Shaoxing. The 660 yuan gap—about 6.4%—is significant enough in a relatively standardized category like DTY to alter downstream weaving mills' procurement decisions. For the same fabric order, raw material cost differences can directly determine whether a mill accepts the order.

Why would products of identical specification diverge so widely? The first layer is cost transmission timing. Price fluctuations in PTA and MEG, the primary polyester feedstocks, hit different companies at different points depending on procurement lock-in cycles, inventory strategies, and settlement methods. Larger producers with longer feedstock inventory cycles adjust quotes with a lag, while smaller players price closer to spot costs.

The second layer is capacity. Zhejiang, as a core polyester and chemical fiber hub, has seen continuous new capacity release, significantly increasing supply elasticity in the DTY segment. When supply is ample, pricing strategies diverge—some choose to hold prices to protect margins, others cut prices to maintain operating rates. Yongsheng's notably lower quote in Shaoxing reflects varying competitive intensity within the region.

The third layer comes from downstream. Demand recovery in weaving and home textiles remains slow, with buyers adopting small-batch, multi-frequency procurement rather than building large inventories. Under this demand structure, sellers competing for limited orders inevitably diverge in pricing.

What It Means for the Supply Chain

For buyers, the 660 yuan spread is both risk and opportunity. The risk: locking into a long-term contract based on a single supplier's quote could leave you exposed during a downward price cycle. The opportunity: competition among suppliers creates room for negotiation, especially in bulk procurement where cross-company comparison yields direct returns.

For mills, the signal is more cautionary. When price spreads widen for the same specification, the market is shifting from competing on capacity to competing on cost and differentiation. A model relying solely on standard-spec DTY volume will see margins continuously squeezed. Companies with positions in differentiated fibers, functional polyester, or specialty specifications are better positioned to maintain initiative in pricing games.

From a transmission perspective, DTY price divergence will ultimately pressure upstream PTA and MEG. If DTY margins compress, polyester plant operating willingness will be affected, feeding back into feedstock procurement rhythms. This chain typically reacts within two to four weeks, and marginal changes in feedstock prices deserve close attention.

Competitive Landscape Across Production Hubs

The price gap between Hangzhou and Shaoxing reflects subtle competition within the polyester belt. Hangzhou hosts leading players like Rongsheng, Kaishi, and Tongkun, with generally higher quotes reflecting brand premiums and customer structure differences. Shaoxing, represented by Yongsheng, quotes lower, closer to a cost-competitive market.

This regional divergence is not necessarily negative. It means downstream buyers can combine procurement across regions based on order positioning—high-end orders matched with Hangzhou suppliers for quality consistency, while cost-sensitive orders can leverage Shaoxing's pricing advantage.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Establish a comparison mechanism across at least three suppliers; avoid relying on a single quote source, especially before bulk purchases - Monitor PTA and MEG price trends; prioritize short-term price locks over long-term contracts when a downward feedstock trend is clear - For standard-spec DTY, consider increasing procurement from Shaoxing-based suppliers, but verify batch quality consistency simultaneously

For Mills - Margins on standard DTY will remain under pressure; accelerate the shift toward differentiated and functional product lines - Optimize feedstock procurement lock-in cycles to shorten cost transmission lags and avoid passive price-following during rapid fluctuations - Monitor downstream weaving and home textile operating rates; produce to order and control inventory risk

For Exporters - Leave a wider feedstock cost fluctuation buffer in quotations to avoid DTY price volatility eroding margins - For price-sensitive markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, prioritize matching with lower-cost supplier resources - Watch dual fluctuations in exchange rates and feedstock prices; specify price adjustment clauses in contracts

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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