Identical quotes across three cities are unusual in the chemical raw materials market. On September 24, 2026, spandex 40D bright yarn was quoted at 29,000 yuan per tonne in Wenzhou, Xinxiang and Xiamen—zero price spread. This convergence looks like market transparency, but in essence it reflects a standoff: upstream costs are locked, downstream demand is weak, and midstream players can only quote near cost.
Three Layers of the Price Signal
The first layer is cost support. Prices of PTMEG and pure MDI, the main raw materials for spandex, have fluctuated within a narrow range recently. The cash cost for 40D bright yarn is roughly 27,000 to 28,000 yuan per tonne, meaning the 29,000 yuan quote leaves producers with razor-thin margins. The second layer is capacity structure. Huafeng Chemical, Xinxiang Chemical Fiber and Xiamen Lilong are located in Zhejiang, Henan and Fujian respectively, covering East China, Central China and the southeast coast. Uniform pricing across these three regions suggests logistics cost differences have been offset by scale effects. The third layer is demand. Spandex downstream applications are mainly sportswear, underwear and medical bandages. Domestic textile and apparel demand is recovering slowly, and although some export categories have picked up, overall demand has not yet formed a force strong enough to lift spandex prices.
For buyers, uniform pricing across regions means the traditional strategy of cross-regional price comparison is largely ineffective. In the past, sourcing from Wenzhou versus Xinxiang might have involved a price difference of several hundred yuan. Now that space has been compressed to zero, and procurement decisions must shift from "finding the lowest price" to "securing supply stability" and "negotiating payment terms."
Real Reactions from Industrial Belts
Wenzhou, a major spandex consumption hub, hosts many warp-knitting and weft-knitting fabric enterprises. Spandex 40D bright yarn is mainly used in high-elastic sportswear fabrics. Local factories report that current orders are mostly short-run and urgent, with large orders scarce. Spandex procurement has shifted from monthly stocking to order-based purchasing. This change is a double-edged sword for spandex producers: it reduces inventory buildup risk but weakens production continuity, raising unit energy consumption and switching costs.
Spandex capacity in Xinxiang mainly serves the central and western markets. Bailu Spandex's quote matching coastal levels suggests inland logistics disadvantages are being offset by other factors, possibly energy or labor cost advantages. Xiamen Lilong relies on Fujian's textile and apparel cluster and is close to downstream customers, theoretically enjoying a service response advantage. However, its quote shows no premium, reflecting extreme downstream price sensitivity—service premiums are hard to monetize.
From a supply chain transmission perspective, the spandex price standoff affects downstream fabric mills gradually. In the short term, stable fabric costs facilitate quoting. But in the medium term, if spandex producers cut output due to thin margins, supply tightening could trigger a price spike, exposing fabric mills to sudden cost increases.
A Sober Look from the Export Angle
Direct spandex exports account for a modest share, but exports of elastic fabrics containing spandex are substantial. With RMB exchange rate fluctuations and high ocean freight rates, export enterprises are squeezed on multiple fronts. At 29,000 yuan per tonne, spandex accounts for about 15% to 25% of fabric cost, depending on spandex content. If spandex prices remain stable, uncertainty on the raw material side of export quotes decreases, allowing companies to focus on currency hedging and freight negotiations.
However, it is worth noting that textile capacity in Southeast Asia is expanding. Rising spandex procurement demand in Vietnam and Indonesia could divert China's export share. China accounts for over 70% of global spandex capacity, and its scale advantage remains. But if domestic prices stay depressed, export incentives may strengthen, potentially triggering price competition in overseas markets.
