In the second week of June 2026 (8th to 12th), the prices of major textile commodities showed a clear structural divergence. Polyester filament series rose against the broader weakness, while nylon, cotton, and silk faced downward pressure. This is not a random fluctuation but the result of multiple factors including cost transmission, demand shifts, and capacity cycles.

Polyester Chain: Cost-Driven and Demand-Resilient

Polyester DTY led the gains with a 0.65% weekly increase, closing at 9,643.75 yuan/ton, up 15.24% year-on-year. Polyester FDY rose 0.37% to 9,011.67 yuan/ton, with an annual gain exceeding 21%. Upstream raw material PTA also rose 0.28%, reflecting cost support. Polyester POY posted a modest 0.15% gain.

What does this mean? The across-the-board rise in polyester filament is primarily cost-driven. The 35.62% year-on-year surge in PTA prices directly pushes up polyester chip and downstream yarn costs. At the same time, weaving mills, after destocking, are showing restocking demand, especially as orders for autumn/winter fabrics begin to emerge. This combination of cost-push and demand support makes the polyester chain notably strong in an otherwise weak market.

Cotton and Nylon: Inventory Pressure and Weak Demand

In stark contrast, cotton and nylon segments performed poorly. Cotton fell 1.32% to 17,350.67 yuan/ton. Despite a 16.85% annual gain, the weekly decline was significant. Nylon POY dropped the most at 1.43%, closing at 13,800 yuan/ton; nylon DTY fell 0.37%. Raw silk also weakened, down 0.68% to 437,400 yuan/ton, and was the only product with a year-on-year decline of 7.70%.

The decline in cotton reflects profit compression and high inventories in the spinning sector. Cotton yarn prices were flat, but the drop in raw cotton means spinners' purchasing willingness is low, with a strong wait-and-see attitude. Nylon's woes stem from oversupply of its raw material caprolactam and slowing growth in orders for sportswear and outdoor apparel. The persistent decline in raw silk signals weak demand in high-end silk consumption, especially in European and American markets, where luxury spending is cooling.

Signals from Price Divergence

Among the week's price movers, eight products remained flat, including viscose yarn, viscose staple fiber, spandex, and cotton yarn. This is not a sign of stability but of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Spandex prices are steady but up 21.77% year-on-year, indicating its high-cycle continues. The flatness of viscose products suggests the regenerated cellulose fiber market is at a supply-demand equilibrium.

Overall, the textile raw material market has formed a 'two-tier' pattern. The polyester chain, with its strong cost pass-through and relatively stable downstream demand, remains one of the few segments able to sustain price increases. In contrast, cotton, nylon, and silk face more severe supply-demand imbalances. For textile companies, this signals an urgent need to adjust product mix, as over-reliance on a single raw material type is becoming increasingly risky.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Monitor polyester filament cost changes: With PTA high, consider locking in forward contracts for polyester to avoid chasing prices. - Adopt a wait-and-see approach for cotton: If the downward trend continues, cotton yarn prices may soften next week, opening a buying window. - Be cautious with nylon purchases: The expanding decline in nylon POY suggests buying only for immediate needs to avoid inventory depreciation.

For Exporters - Adjust export quotations by raw material type: Raise prices for polyester-based products to cover costs; for cotton and silk, face downward pressure and negotiate price terms with clients. - Watch currency and raw material linkage: With RMB volatility and diverging raw material prices, include price adjustment clauses in contracts. - Shift product mix toward higher value: Pure cotton and silk orders face margin erosion; consider developing differentiated products like polyester-cotton blends and functional polyester fabrics.

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