In the first four months of 2026, China's textile industry experienced a synchronized slowdown across multiple core indicators, signaling a transition from high-growth to a moderate adjustment phase. Data on industrial value-added, fixed asset investment, retail sales, revenue, profit, and exports all reflect this trend, though sub-sectors like chemical fibers and garments show divergent performance, hinting at an internal restructuring.

Data Overview: Slowing Growth as the Main Theme

According to public data from the National Bureau of Statistics and the China National Textile and Apparel Council (CNTAC), from January to April 2026, the textile industry's industrial value-added grew by approximately 4.8% year-on-year, down 1.2 percentage points from the same period in 2025. Fixed asset investment growth slowed to 3.5%, the lowest in three years, indicating cautious expansion by enterprises. Retail sales of clothing, footwear, hats, and textiles in the total social consumer goods sector grew by 2.1%, continuing the weakness seen since the second half of 2025, reflecting sluggish end-consumer demand.

Revenue of enterprises above designated size increased by 3.8% year-on-year, but profit growth was only 1.2%, significantly below revenue growth. This suggests that overall profitability is narrowing, with cost pressures—including cotton, chemical fiber raw materials, and labor costs—continuously eroding profit margins. On the export front, textile and apparel exports grew by 2.5% year-on-year in the first four months, but the pace slowed by 0.8 percentage points from the first quarter, indicating increased volatility in overseas orders.

Industry Impact: Uneven Performance Across Sub-Sectors

The chemical fiber sector stood out in this data set. From January to April, chemical fiber output grew by 7.2% year-on-year, and fixed asset investment surged by 12.3%, far exceeding industry averages. This is driven by rising demand for functional and differentiated fibers downstream, as well as active investment in technology upgrades and capacity expansion by chemical fiber companies. In contrast, the garment sector faced significant pressure: output of garment enterprises above designated size fell by 0.5% year-on-year, revenue growth was only 1.8%, and profits declined by 3.2%. The trend of export orders shifting to Southeast Asia continues, coupled with a slowdown in domestic consumption upgrading, leading to an increasingly severe overcapacity problem in mid- to low-end garments.

Home textiles and industrial textiles performed relatively steadily. Retail sales of home textiles grew by 2.8% year-on-year, and exports of industrial textiles increased by 4.1%, benefiting from stable demand in downstream sectors such as infrastructure and healthcare. However, overall, the compression of profit margins has spread from upstream to mid- and downstream sectors, with small and medium-sized enterprises facing greater cash flow pressure.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Monitor price fluctuations of chemical fiber raw materials and use futures or forward contracts to lock in procurement costs, preventing profit erosion from raw material price increases. - When sourcing garment categories, prioritize suppliers with flexible production capabilities and fast-response supply chains to cope with uncertainty in end-demand. - Increase focus on industrial textiles and home textiles, as demand in these areas is relatively stable and can serve as a hedge against fluctuations in garment orders.

For Exporters - Given the slowdown in export growth, diversify market focus by increasing efforts in emerging markets such as ASEAN, the Middle East, and Africa, reducing reliance on traditional European and American markets. - With shrinking profit margins, improve bargaining power by optimizing product structure—for example, by adding high value-added functional fabrics or eco-certified products. - Closely monitor RMB exchange rate fluctuations and trade policy changes of major trading partners, and use foreign exchange hedging tools to manage currency risk.

资料来源:中华纺织网查看原始资料
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