Overseas orders are still pouring in, but the growth engine of Vietnam's textile and garment industry is showing signs of strain. According to the latest data from the Vietnam Textile and Apparel Association (VITAS), the sector's export value reached $17.8 billion in the first five months of 2026, a mere 0.6% year-on-year increase. While this figure supports the ambitious annual target of $50 billion, it cannot mask the structural concerns behind the slowing growth—the extensive growth model relying solely on cheap labor has reached its limit.

Cost Dividends Fade, Competition Intensifies

Rising labor costs in Vietnam are eroding its core competitiveness as a global textile manufacturing hub. Meanwhile, competitors like Bangladesh and Cambodia are accelerating their share of global orders with lower labor costs and more favorable industrial policies. Homogeneous competition is intensifying, while buyers demand faster delivery and higher quality. VITAS Chairman Vu Duc Giang acknowledged that the old path of competing on price is narrowing, and the industry must shift toward technological innovation, production efficiency, and higher value-added products.

EU and US Markets Raise Green Barriers

The US and EU are Vietnam's two largest export markets for textiles and garments, but both are systematically tightening access rules. Carbon emission controls, renewable energy usage requirements, corporate social responsibility standards, and eco-friendly production criteria are being updated one by one. Green compliance is no longer a bonus but a hard threshold for survival. Any factory failing to meet environmental standards risks being quickly excluded from mainstream supply chains.

Supply Chain Gaps Limit Trade Dividend

Vietnam's textile and garment supply chain localization rate remains around 50%, with core raw materials like fabrics and accessories heavily dependent on imports. This structural weakness prevents Vietnam from fully leveraging tariff reductions and trade facilitation under various free trade agreements, squeezing profit margins. Building an independent and controllable raw material supply system is key to breaking through the profit bottleneck.

Transformation Path: Technology, Green, and Market Diversification

Industry experts propose a three-pronged strategy. First, government and industry associations should guide investment toward high-tech production lines and eco-compliant projects, accelerating the phase-out of outdated, high-energy-consumption capacity. Second, scale up green textile industrial parks to create centralized, low-carbon, standardized production platforms. Third, use diversified free trade agreements to explore emerging markets and reduce reliance on the US and EU. Digital transformation, core technology upgrades, and sustainable development are seen as the three engines for the next growth phase.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Prioritize vetting Vietnamese suppliers' green compliance credentials (e.g., carbon emission reports, renewable energy usage) to preempt EU and US market access risks. - Monitor Vietnam's dependence on imported raw materials and assess supply chain disruption risks; require suppliers to present alternative sourcing plans when necessary. - Leverage Vietnam's FTA benefits by clearly defining tariff concession implementation responsibilities in purchase contracts to ensure cost optimization.

For Export Companies - Make green production capacity a core criterion for supplier selection, maintain dynamic compliance files, and regularly update factory carbon emission data. - Diversify sourcing bases by simultaneously evaluating capacity and cost advantages in competitor countries like Bangladesh and Cambodia to spread order concentration risk. - Promote joint R&D with local Vietnamese fabric and accessory suppliers to reduce import dependence and enhance supply chain resilience and cost controllability.

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