In early July 2026, Rongsheng Petrochemical (including Shengyuan) lowered its polyester FDY prices by 100 to 200 CNY per ton across multiple specifications. Semi-dull FDY 30D/24F dropped to 10,950 CNY/ton, 75D/36F to 8,500 CNY/ton, and 150D/96F to 8,300 CNY/ton. The move immediately dampened sentiment in the polyester sector, with polyester staple fiber prices also weakening indirectly. Texworld Editorial views this not as a minor adjustment but as a signal of structural overcapacity and weak end-demand.

Drivers Behind the Price Cut

On the cost side, upstream PTA and ethylene glycol prices have lacked support recently, squeezing polyester chip margins. As a leading domestic polyester producer, Rongsheng's price moves often set the tone for the market. The adjustment covered common deniers from 30D to 300D, suggesting an active effort to destock. Industry data show that polyester filament yarn inventories have been at mid-to-high levels for three consecutive months, forcing producers to cut prices to clear stock.

On the demand side, downstream weaving mill operating rates in Jiangsu and Zhejiang declined to around 75% in late June, down nearly 5 percentage points from May's peak. Export orders for finished garments remain limited, and the domestic market faces consumption downgrade pressures. Buyers have adopted a 'buy-as-needed' strategy, deepening the wait-and-see sentiment and forcing filament factories to offer discounts to stimulate restocking.

Transmission Effects on the Polyester Chain

The filament price cut directly lowered the price benchmark for the entire polyester sector. According to bull-bear scoring, the adjustment is moderately bearish for polyester FDY spot and indirectly bearish for polyester staple fiber. Although filament and staple fiber are different product forms, they share raw material costs and cyclical dynamics. A decline in filament prices drags down the valuation anchor for all polyester fibers, affecting staple fiber procurement expectations.

For downstream weaving and dyeing mills, lower raw material costs may temporarily improve margins, but if final orders don't pick up, the cost benefit could be offset by rising finished goods inventories. Texworld Editorial notes that grey fabric inventories in clusters like Shengze and Keqiao are also climbing, indicating that destocking pressure is transmitting upstream.

Market Outlook and Recommendations

Looking into Q3, polyester filament prices are likely to remain weak and volatile. New capacity is still coming online in Fujian and Zhejiang, while demand enters a traditional lull with no major improvement in domestic or foreign orders. Unless PTA costs rebound sharply, filament prices lack upward momentum. Buyers should avoid stockpiling during a downtrend, and mills should control operating rates to balance supply and demand.

For Buyers - Lock in small batches at current low prices, but avoid large one-time purchases to prevent inventory depreciation if prices fall further. - Monitor PTA and ethylene glycol futures; if raw material prices show signs of recovery, increase procurement accordingly. - Negotiate price protection or floating pricing contracts with suppliers to reduce volatility risk.

For Exporters - Include price adjustment clauses in quotations to hedge against raw material cost fluctuations. - Focus on demand changes in Southeast and South Asia, which remain heavily reliant on Chinese polyester filament. - Use futures instruments such as short PTA positions to lock in raw material costs.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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