On July 3, 2026, Rongsheng Petrochemical (including Shengyuan Petrochemical) reduced prices for selected polyester filament yarn products by 100 to 200 yuan per ton. For instance, DTY 75/36 low-elastic yarn was priced at 10,050 yuan/ton, DTY 150/48 at 9,150 yuan/ton, and DTY 300/96 heavy network yarn at 9,250 yuan/ton. As a leading supplier in China's polyester industry, Rongsheng's price adjustment serves as a clear bellwether, directly revealing the transmission of upstream inventory pressure to pricing.

Supply-Demand Imbalance Signal

This price cut is not an isolated event. The previous day, the polyester staple fiber futures contract 2609 on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange fell by 136 yuan/ton, with a notable increase in short positions. The bearish sentiment in futures markets aligns with the spot market price reduction, indicating a sustained contraction in demand across the polyester sector. According to industry data, operating rates at weaving mills have declined for three consecutive weeks, and gray fabric inventories remain at historically high levels, directly weakening demand for polyester filament. Rongsheng's price cut essentially releases its inventory pressure to the market in an attempt to boost sales volume.

Downstream Impact

Polyester DTY, as a direct raw material for weaving, transmits price fluctuations quickly to the gray fabric and fabric segments. After this adjustment, DTY 150/48 dropped to 9,150 yuan/ton, down about 3.2% from last month. For small and medium-sized weaving mills, lower raw material costs can temporarily ease profit pressure, but if end-user orders do not recover, the price cut may deepen market wait-and-see sentiment—buyers prefer just-in-time purchasing over building safety stocks. This 'buy on rising, not falling' psychology could prolong the price downturn.

Product Differentiation

Notably, Rongsheng's cuts focused on DTY and standard filament specifications, while reductions for differentiated products (e.g., high-denier, heavy network yarn) were smaller. This reflects weaker demand for commodity-grade products, while functional or differentiated yarns retain some pricing power. The multi-score for polyester filament is -1 (generally bearish), while for polyester staple fiber it is -0.5 (slightly bearish), indicating that sentiment spillover is indirect but not negligible.

Regional Industry Chain Reactions

In major polyester filament producing areas such as Shengze, Changxing, and Xiaoshan, traders have followed with price cuts. In weaving clusters like Shaoxing Keqiao's circular knitting market, operating rates have dipped below 60%. Exporters report a 15% year-on-year decline in new orders since July, with order shifts to Southeast Asia being a key factor. Both domestic demand and exports currently lack momentum to drive a price rebound.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Adopt a phased procurement strategy to avoid tying up capital in bulk purchases. Monitor futures trends; if short positions increase, spot prices may fall further. - Prioritize long-term contracts for differentiated specifications (e.g., high-strength, low-shrinkage), and delay purchases of standard grades to leverage market caution for better pricing.

For Exporters - Include price adjustment clauses in contracts, allowing renegotiation when raw material prices fluctuate beyond a certain threshold, to prevent losses from price drops. - Track polyester prices in Southeast Asia; if local prices also decline, adjust export quotes competitively and consider shorter delivery times to secure orders.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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