Price fluctuations in the chemical fiber market are never isolated numerical games. On July 13, 2026, the benchmark price of nylon DTY settled at 15,760 yuan/ton, down 0.51% from the beginning of the month. This seemingly minor decline has placed the supply-demand balance of the nylon industrial chain into a mid-range zone worthy of attention.
Price Range: A Mirror of the Year's Trajectory
Looking back at the full-year data from July 2025 to July 2026, nylon DTY prices fluctuated between 13,560 yuan/ton and 18,960 yuan/ton, with a median value of 16,260 yuan/ton. The current quote of 15,760 yuan/ton sits roughly 500 yuan below the median, neither a bubble high nor a panic low.
This means the market is in a typical 'direction-selection period.' For textile enterprises, such a price position often tests decision-making more than extreme swings—neither blindly hoarding for a rebound nor excessively shorting inventory is advisable.
The zero daily change indicates both buyers and sellers are reluctant to break the stalemate in the short term. However, the annual average of 15,064.59 yuan/ton suggests the market center has shifted downward compared to a year ago, systematically compressing industry profit margins.
Industrial Impact: The Game Between Costs and Demand
The price trend of nylon DTY directly reflects the transmission efficiency from upstream caprolactam to downstream weaving and apparel end-use. The current mid-range oscillation is essentially a tug-of-war between two forces:
- Cost side: Crude oil price fluctuations affect raw material costs like pure benzene and cyclohexanone, but the expansion cycle of caprolactam capacity has created a loose supply, limiting the price elasticity of nylon chips.
- Demand side: Nylon is steadily growing in sportswear, outdoor gear, and high-end home textiles, but domestic weaving mill operating rates have yet to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels. End-brand orders are characterized by small batches and quick turnaround, increasing sensitivity to raw material prices.
For nylon DTY producers, the 15,760 yuan/ton price means increased cash flow pressure for some small and medium enterprises. The annual peak-to-trough spread of 3,200 yuan/ton indicates that once the cost side fluctuates, downstream purchasing may further wait and see, creating a negative price feedback loop.
