On July 14, 2026, China Reserve Cotton Management Co., Ltd. announced a plan to sell part of the central reserve cotton starting July 20. This move is not ad hoc but a routine adjustment by national authorities to better meet the cotton demand of textile mills. Compared with previous years, this year's sales mechanism further strengthens the linkage between domestic and international markets, with more refined rules: daily auction volumes will be adjusted flexibly based on market conditions, and the weekly floor price will be dynamically calculated using a 50/50 weighting of domestic and international cotton spot price indices.

Background

The core of this reserve cotton sales mechanism lies in its market-linked pricing logic. The floor price is adjusted weekly using a clear formula: it equals 50% of the arithmetic average of the previous week's domestic cotton spot price index plus 50% of the international cotton spot price index. The domestic index is the average of the China Cotton Price Index and the National Cotton Price Index (both for 3128B grade). The international index uses the Cotlook A Index, converted to RMB after applying a 1% tariff and 9% VAT.

This pricing method means the reserve cotton floor price will closely track global cotton price fluctuations. For textile mills, procurement costs will no longer be determined solely by the domestic market but will be influenced by international supply-demand dynamics, exchange rate movements, and tariff policies. The exchange rate, calculated using the benchmark rate on the third Wednesday of the previous month (following customs valuation methods), adds transparency and predictability.

Industry Impact

From an industrial cluster perspective, this sales mechanism will directly impact procurement strategies in major cotton textile hubs like Shengze, Keqiao, and Nantong. The flexible daily auction volumes require enterprises to establish more agile raw material inventory management systems. The traditional model of fixed-batch procurement may face challenges—companies must track daily auction volumes and price trends in real time to stay competitive in bidding.

More critically, the sales are strictly limited to textile mills for self-use only. Non-textile enterprises that violate this rule will have their bids invalidated and lose future participation rights. This rule effectively cuts off middlemen from hoarding for profit, ensuring reserve cotton flows directly to end producers. For small and medium-sized mills, this is both an opportunity—reducing intermediate markups—and a pressure—requiring strict compliance and self-use commitment.

Practical Recommendations

For Procurement Teams - Establish a weekly floor price tracking mechanism: closely monitor the weekly adjusted floor price, and predict bidding ranges by analyzing trends in the China Cotton Price Index and Cotlook A Index. - Optimize inventory turnover cycles: given flexible daily auction volumes, consider shortening the raw material inventory cycle from the traditional 30 days to 15-20 days to respond quickly to price fluctuations. - Conduct compliance self-checks: ensure the unified social credit code matches the bidding entity, and confirm that reserve cotton is used only for in-house production to avoid disqualification for resale.

For Foreign Trade Companies - Lock in forward order costs: during the reserve cotton sales period, use the relatively transparent floor price window to sign fixed-price forward supply contracts with domestic mills, hedging against future cotton price increases. - Monitor exchange rate pass-through effects: since the floor price calculation involves the USD/CNY exchange rate, track RMB exchange rate trends and lock in procurement costs when the rate is favorable. - Adjust export product mix: if reserve cotton sales lead to a temporary dip in domestic cotton prices, consider increasing the share of cotton-based fabric and apparel export orders, leveraging cost advantages to boost international competitiveness.

资料来源:锦桥纺织网查看原始资料
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