June 2026 PPI data reveals a troubling divergence for the textile industry: upstream raw material purchase prices surged 3.3% to 11.8% year-on-year, while downstream clothing factory-gate prices fell 1.0%. This means the entire chain from chemical fibers, cotton spinning, printing and dyeing to garment manufacturing is seeing profit margins squeezed from both ends.

Cost Side: Triple Pressure

Textile companies face three simultaneous cost surges. First, textile raw material purchase prices rose 3.3% year-on-year, with a 0.7% month-on-month increase, driving up costs for chemical fibers, cotton, and recycled fibers. Second, chemical raw material purchase prices jumped 11.5% year-on-year, severely impacting polyester, nylon, auxiliaries, and functional leather production. Third, fuel and power purchase prices increased 11.8%, raising energy costs for weaving, dyeing, and drying processes, especially during peak summer demand for coal and electricity.

The implication is clear: even with stable order volumes, per-ton production costs are rapidly rising. And these costs cannot be fully absorbed through process optimization in the short term.

Output Side: Lack of Pricing Power

In stark contrast to upstream price hikes, downstream consumer goods prices fell 0.9% overall, with clothing factory-gate prices dropping 1.0% year-on-year. Apparel, home textiles, and footwear prices declined rather than rising, indicating that in a market with ample supply and fierce competition, companies lack the ability to pass on costs.

This 'upstream up, downstream down' pattern reflects a mismatch in pricing power across the value chain. Upstream chemical and fiber industries benefit from high commodity and energy prices, while downstream textile and garment sectors, plagued by overcapacity and homogeneous competition, must absorb cost increases without raising prices. As a result, profit margins in spinning, printing and dyeing, and footwear manufacturing continue to shrink, with many small and medium enterprises hovering near breakeven.

Macro Drivers: Commodities and Industrial Demand

The structural rise in PPI is not isolated. High international commodity, energy, and non-ferrous metal prices directly push up chemical and fiber raw material costs. Meanwhile, rapid growth in computing, new energy, and energy storage sectors drives demand for non-ferrous metals and electrical materials, further tightening upstream resources. These factors combine to sustain high prices for textile chemical raw materials.

For textile firms, this means cost pressures will not ease soon. If international crude oil prices remain high, polyester raw materials PTA and MEG will stay expensive; coal and electricity costs may ease after summer peak demand, but the overall energy price level has already shifted upward.

Industry Response: Short-term Cost Cutting vs. Long-term Transformation

Faced with profit compression, textile companies are diverging in their strategies. In the short term, some rely on order scale to spread fixed costs or improve processes to reduce energy and material consumption. But these measures have limited marginal impact, especially with persistent downward pressure on end-product prices.

Over the medium to long term, the industry is accelerating toward two directions: green and low-carbon processes to reduce energy cost share, and differentiated functional fabrics and high-end specialty fibers to gain pricing power through high value-added products. For example, developing antibacterial, flame-retardant, waterproof, and breathable functional fabrics, or producing high-performance industrial specialty fibers—these products have lower price sensitivity among downstream customers, giving companies greater room for negotiation.

Practical Recommendations

For Procurement Managers - Monitor raw material price cycles and lock in long-term contracts when chemical raw material prices are relatively low to avoid chasing high prices. - Evaluate suppliers' cost-pass-through capabilities, prioritizing those with differentiated product lines or strong cost control to reduce supply disruption risks.

For Foreign Trade Companies - Include raw material price fluctuation clauses in export quotes, agreeing with customers on price adjustment mechanisms to prevent cost increases from eroding profits. - Gradually shift product mix away from low-value-added commodity items toward functional fabrics and eco-certified products to enhance bargaining power.

资料来源:中华纺织网查看原始资料
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