The 6.4% year-on-year increase in producer purchase prices versus the 4.1% rise in factory gate prices highlights a widening profit squeeze for China's textile industry. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on July 9, June 2026 PPI rose 4.1% year-on-year, but purchase prices for industrial producers surged 6.4%, with the gap expanding from the previous month. This directly points to profitability challenges in the midstream manufacturing sector.

Upstream costs remain stubbornly high

Textile enterprises face multiple cost pressures. Purchase prices for textile raw materials rose 3.3% year-on-year, with a 0.7% month-on-month increase, as costs for cotton, chemical fibers, and recycled fibers continued to climb. More notably, chemical raw material purchase prices soared 11.5% year-on-year, significantly raising production costs for polyester, nylon, auxiliaries, and functional leather. Fuel and power purchase prices increased 11.8%, directly boosting energy consumption costs in weaving, dyeing, and drying processes.

Overall, producer goods prices rose 5.5% year-on-year, driven by a 16.5% surge in mining and a 8.6% increase in raw materials. While upstream commodity price increases are transmitting through the supply chain, the momentum weakens significantly at the textile end.

Downstream pricing power remains weak

In stark contrast to upstream heat, consumer goods prices fell 0.9% year-on-year overall, with apparel factory prices declining 1.0%. This means textile manufacturers can barely pass on raw material and energy cost increases to downstream customers.

The reason is straightforward: ample supply in the end-consumer market and fierce competition in apparel and footwear make brands and retailers highly sensitive to price hikes. Unilateral price increases risk order losses. This 'upstream up, downstream down' pattern systematically squeezes midstream manufacturers' margins.

Profit squeeze across the supply chain

Profit margins in chemical fibers, spinning, printing and dyeing, and footwear are narrowing. For chemical fiber producers, upstream PTA and MEG prices remain elevated due to global oil and chemical market trends, while downstream weavers and garment makers resist price increases. Dyeing and finishing plants face dual pressure from rising dye and auxiliary costs and higher energy expenses.

In regional industrial clusters like Shengze and Keqiao (chemical fibers and weaving) and Nantong (home textiles), companies generally feel the cost pinch. Some small and medium enterprises have reduced output or suspended operations amid thin order margins. Industry data shows a slowdown in fixed asset investment in the textile sector in the first half of the year, reflecting weakened expansion appetite.

Two paths to transformation

In the short term, companies can offset cost pressures through scale economies and process optimization. Long-term, the industry must shift toward higher value-added products to fundamentally alleviate the profit squeeze.

  • Differentiated functional fabrics: Develop waterproof, breathable, antibacterial, and temperature-regulating fabrics to enhance pricing power.
  • High-end specialty fibers: Invest in high-performance fibers like aramid, carbon fiber, and UHMWPE to tap into aerospace and defense markets.
  • Green and low-carbon processes: Adopt low-liquor ratio dyeing, digital printing, and bio-enzyme pretreatment to cut energy costs while meeting brand ESG requirements.

Strategies for foreign trade companies

For exporters, high global commodity prices mean rising production costs, while overseas clients have limited tolerance for price increases. Breakthroughs can come from currency management, supply chain optimization, and product upgrades.

For buyers - Monitor raw material price trends and lock in long-term contracts during price troughs to avoid peak-time procurement. - Evaluate suppliers' cost-passing capabilities, preferring those with integrated supply chains or technical advantages. - Establish cost-sharing mechanisms with suppliers, such as quarterly price adjustment formulas.

For foreign trade companies - Increase the share of high-value products (e.g., functional fabrics, recycled materials) in exports. - Use RMB exchange rate fluctuations to lock in profits via forward contracts. - Explore emerging markets in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa to diversify risk and leverage RCEP tariff benefits.

资料来源:中华纺织网查看原始资料
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