The benchmark price of nylon POY stood at 14,000 yuan per ton on July 27, 2026, up 2.56% from 13,650 yuan at the start of the month. This price sits near the midpoint of the annual range (11,300-16,950 yuan), with the median value at 14,125 yuan and the current price just 125 yuan lower.

Price Position and Market Signals

Annual data reveals a key fact: the current price has a bottom difference of 2,700 yuan and a top difference of -2,950 yuan, forming a symmetrical structure. This indicates the market is neither overly pessimistic nor blindly optimistic. Compared to the annual average of 12,878.96 yuan, the current price is about 8.7% higher, suggesting the industry's profit margins have partially recovered from last year.

However, the zero daily change and the "mid-range" annual position signal a lack of directional momentum in the short term. This sideways movement presents a decision window for downstream weaving mills: accept current prices to build inventory, or wait for a pullback?

Supply-Demand Fundamentals and Downstream Transmission

As an intermediate product in the nylon filament yarn chain, nylon POY price fluctuations directly impact grey fabric and finished fabric costs. The current mid-range price suggests that upstream caprolactam and chip price hikes have not fully materialized, while downstream weaving mills have not sharply curtailed procurement.

In key industrial clusters such as Changle (Fujian) and Yiwu (Zhejiang), weaving mills are adopting a wait-and-see approach. An anonymous manager at a Changle warp-knitting mill revealed that raw material inventory is maintained at 15-20 days, below the normal 30-day safety line—a passive choice driven by cash flow pressure and an active defense against potential price drops.

Price Expectations and Operational Strategies

Given the annual high of 16,950 yuan and low of 11,300 yuan, the current price has 17.4% upside to the peak and a 19.3% cushion to the bottom. This symmetry means that if upstream raw material prices (e.g., pure benzene, cyclohexanone) fluctuate, nylon POY could break upward; conversely, if demand remains weak, prices may revert to the mean.

For foreign trade companies, currency volatility and uncertain overseas orders complicate price judgments. The spread between export and domestic prices has narrowed to 200-300 yuan per ton, limiting export profit margins.

Practical Recommendations

For Procurement Teams - Adopt a "staggered replenishment" strategy: avoid full-position chasing or complete short-side waiting. - Monitor upstream caprolactam prices: if they fall below 11,000 yuan/ton, consider delaying purchases. - Use futures or forward contracts to lock in partial orders, hedging against price volatility over the next 3-6 months.

For Foreign Trade Companies - Base export quotations on 14,000 yuan/ton, adding a 5%-8% margin for FOB offers to leave room for negotiation. - Watch for new nylon capacity in Southeast Asia: additions in Vietnam and Indonesia may pressure prices by year-end. - Include price adjustment clauses in contracts, allowing renegotiation if raw material costs fluctuate by more than 5%.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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