On August 3, quotations for polyester FDY 150D/96F semi-dull premium grade in Zhejiang's chemical fiber hub ranged from 8,800 to 9,060 CNY/ton, a maximum spread of 260 CNY/ton. This seemingly routine price fluctuation reflects a deep game within the chemical fiber chain amid overcapacity.

Background

Five major Zhejiang enterprises showed a clear tiered pricing pattern: Tongkun Group led at 9,060 CNY/ton, Tiansheng Chemical Fiber and Jiabao Fiber were in the middle at 8,960 and 8,950 CNY/ton respectively, while Juxing Chemical Fiber and Rongsheng Petrochemical both offered the lowest at 8,800 CNY/ton. The spread between top and low quotes far exceeds typical transportation or quality discounts.

This divergence is not accidental. As one of the largest producers, Tongkun's pricing often carries brand premium and long-term contract considerations; yet Rongsheng, another leader, quoted the lowest price, suggesting more urgent destocking pressure. A 260 CNY/ton gap between two leaders on the same day indicates a clear split in market outlook.

Notably, all quotations are concentrated in Zhejiang, with Hangzhou and Shaoxing as main delivery points. This reflects the high concentration of polyester FDY capacity in Zhejiang, meaning regional supply-demand changes quickly transmit to the national market.

Industry Impact

The direct driver of price divergence is the mismatch between weak downstream demand and capacity release. Since 2026, textile terminal orders have recovered slower than expected, weaving enterprises are reluctant to stock up, and they adopt a just-in-time purchasing strategy for polyester filament. In this context, chemical fiber enterprises must compete on price for limited orders; the larger the capacity and heavier the inventory pressure, the more likely they become price cutters.

For buyers, the widening spread means more bargaining room. But beware of quality risks behind low prices—under the same specification, actual quality stability may vary due to raw material batches and process control. Buyers should not base decisions solely on price but should evaluate supply stability and batch consistency.

For foreign trade enterprises, RMB exchange rate fluctuations and freight costs remain key variables affecting export profits. As upstream raw material for apparel fabrics, polyester FDY price changes transmit along the chain. The current low domestic price provides a temporary cost advantage for exporters, but they should lock in forward order prices to avoid margin erosion from raw material rebounds.

In the medium to long term, the widening spread may accelerate industry consolidation. Small and medium capacities lacking cost advantages and customer stickiness may exit first during price wars, while integrated leaders can consolidate market position through scale and product differentiation. Though painful in the short term, this process benefits capacity rationalization and industry concentration.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Establish a multi-supplier comparison mechanism; when spreads exceed 150 CNY/ton, verify quality by requesting recent batch test reports. - Use the current low-price window to increase safety stock moderately, but purchase in batches to avoid losses from further price declines. - Include quality default clauses with low-priced suppliers, specifying compensation standards to guard against low-price, low-quality risks.

For Foreign Trade Enterprises - Incorporate raw material prices and exchange rate fluctuations into quotation formulas when signing export contracts, using floating pricing or hedging tools to mitigate risks. - Monitor operating rates and inventory data of major Zhejiang chemical fiber enterprises to anticipate price trends and optimize purchasing timing. - If customers are price-sensitive, consider promoting recycled polyester or differentiated products to avoid intense price competition in standard FDY.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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