A price gap of 260 yuan per ton for the same polyester FDY specification is unusual in today's chemical fiber market. On August 3, public industry data showed offers for 150D/96F semi-dull AA-grade ranged from 8,800 to 9,060 yuan/ton. Zhejiang Tiansheng Chemical Fiber quoted 8,960, Tongkun Group 9,060, while Rongsheng Petrochemical and Zhejiang Juxing both quoted 8,800. The divergence reflects differing inventory pressure, order books, and market outlooks among producers.

Price Divergence: Who Concedes, Who Holds

Tongkun's premium of 260 yuan over Rongsheng's low is about 3%. As a leading producer, Tongkun's products typically command a premium for dyeing uniformity and weaving stability, so maintaining a high quote is unsurprising. Rongsheng and Juxing, quoting at the low end, are likely aiming to accelerate inventory clearance and secure orders. Zhejiang Jiabao New Fiber at 8,950 and Tiansheng at 8,960 sit in the middle, showing mid-sized mills tend to follow the market average.

This widening spread gives downstream weavers more bargaining room. Buyers can choose lower-priced suppliers while ensuring quality, especially when delivery schedules are flexible. However, low quotes often come with stricter payment terms, minimum order quantities, or logistics costs. Comparing ex-works prices alone may ignore hidden expenses.

Industry Impact: Price Transmission and Inventory Game

Polyester FDY is a major raw material for filament weaving; its price swings directly affect greige fabric costs. The current divergence signals that the industry is in a destocking phase. Large players can maintain prices through scale advantages, while some mills choose to trade volume for price, potentially dragging the market's transaction focus downward. For weavers, lower raw material costs improve margins, but if terminal orders remain weak, low prices may not translate into actual purchases.

Geographically, the quoting companies are concentrated in Shaoxing and Hangzhou, Zhejiang, a key polyester filament production hub. The pricing strategies of local mills often set trends. The widening spread may herald a new round of negotiations where buyers gain more leverage. It also warns upstream producers of the risk of price wars—if low-priced supply persists, it could depress overall price expectations.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - When comparing quotes, request details on tax, freight, and payment terms to calculate true landed cost. - If delivery schedules allow, purchase in batches and prioritize mid-to-low quotes, but verify sample quality first. - Monitor leading mills; if Tongkun begins to cut prices, a broader decline may follow—consider delaying purchases.

For Foreign Trade Companies - Incorporate raw material cost fluctuations into export contracts with price adjustment clauses to mitigate dual risks of exchange rates and materials. - Leverage the current spread to sign short-term framework agreements with domestic suppliers, locking in some low-priced supply to boost export competitiveness. - Closely track operating rates and inventory data from Zhejiang mills to better forecast costs for future orders.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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