On August 7, a notable signal emerged in the domestic purified terephthalic acid (PTA) spot market: on the same trading day, the maximum price spread across different regions and brands reached 750 yuan per ton. This figure far exceeds typical logistics cost differences, suggesting subtle shifts in PTA pricing mechanisms.

Three Facts Behind Price Divergence

Looking at specific quotes, in Jiangsu Province, Yangzi Petrochemical's premium-grade product in Nantong was quoted at 6,800 yuan/ton, while Hengli Petrochemical's same specification in Wuxi was only 6,050 yuan/ton—a 750 yuan gap. In Changzhou, Yisheng Dahua's quote was 6,050 yuan/ton, consistent with Wuxi; in Wuhan, Hubei, the same brand was quoted at 6,800 yuan/ton, matching Nantong.

These figures reveal three facts: First, the same brand (Yisheng Dahua) has a 750 yuan regional gap, indicating regional supply-demand is the dominant factor. Second, within Jiangsu, high and low prices coexist, showing divergent corporate pricing strategies. Third, Hubei, an inland province, matches coastal high prices, suggesting logistics costs are not simply passed through.

Industrial Impact: What the Spread Means

For buyers, the current spread offers clear cross-regional comparison opportunities. For example, the 750 yuan gap between Changzhou and Wuhan for Yisheng Dahua products leaves room for arbitrage after deducting freight. This requires buyers to build flexible regional supplier networks rather than sticking to single channels.

For PTA producers, divergent pricing reflects differing market outlooks. Low-priced sellers may aim to destock or lock in long-term contracts, while high-priced ones may rely on cost support or tight regional supply. Such divergence intensifies volatility, and downstream polyester plants must guard against short-term raw material cost spikes.

From a chain perspective, PTA price movements directly affect polyester filament, staple fiber, and other product quotes. If the spread persists, downstream plants may shift from monthly tenders to shorter-cycle spot purchases, altering inventory management across the polyester chain.

Trend Judgment: Short-Term Divergence May Become Norm

Notably, this regional divergence is not an isolated event. In recent years, PTA capacity has concentrated in integrated refining and chemical bases, with leading firms like Hengli and Yisheng leveraging cost advantages in coastal areas, while inland units often require higher selling prices to cover costs due to raw material transport expenses. This explains why Wuhan's quote matches Nantong—not because Wuhan is more competitive, but because its cost structure limits room for lower prices.

Another deep factor is trader behavior. The appearance of traders (e.g., Nantong Zhonghe, Nanjing Waien, Wuhan Hengjiu) with varying quotes reflects their respective inventory pressures and customer structures. Divergent trader pricing often signals probing before market direction is chosen.

For the industry overall, the PTA overcapacity pattern remains, but widening regional spreads may indicate a shift from a "one national market" to "regional segmentation." This transformation poses both challenges and opportunities for small and medium buyers—challenges from heightened information asymmetry, opportunities from expanded price comparison space.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Establish a cross-regional price comparison mechanism, focusing on the spread between Jiangsu (Wuxi, Changzhou) and Hubei (Wuhan); when the spread exceeds 600 yuan/ton, initiate cross-region procurement evaluation. - Maintain relationships with at least two suppliers in different regions to avoid reliance on single quotes and leverage trader competition for better terms. - Monitor price adjustment dynamics of major brands like Yisheng Dahua and Hengli Petrochemical; their pricing often leads market trends.

For Plants (Polyester Enterprises) - Shorten raw material procurement cycles from monthly to weekly to respond to regional price fluctuations and lock in low-cost windows. - Evaluate comprehensive costs (including freight and payment terms) of inland versus coastal suppliers; current spreads may justify increasing procurement from low-price Jiangsu regions. - Reserve 5%-10% flexibility in inventory management to absorb potential cost shocks from sudden PTA price jumps.

资料来源:中国纺织报查看原始资料
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