In July 2026, China's textile exports showed a notable divergence: raw materials such as yarn, fiber, and fabric saw robust growth, while garment exports lagged. This contrast underscores the hidden risks of the "China+1" supply chain model—merely relocating assembly to Southeast Asia does not circumvent EU/US tariff barriers and may trigger compliance issues under rules of origin.

Background

US market data vividly illustrates this trend. In the first half of 2026, US imports of knitted and non-knitted garments from China declined noticeably, while Vietnam and Bangladesh saw steady increases in garment exports to the US. Meanwhile, both countries maintained high import volumes of man-made filaments and staple fibers from China. This pattern of "Chinese materials, Southeast Asian assembly" is becoming the new norm in global textile trade.

Many exporters assume that moving garment assembly to Vietnam or Bangladesh and labeling products as locally made can bypass tariff barriers. However, the EU and US enforce strict yarn-and-fabric tracing rules. The origin of a garment is not determined solely by where it is sewn; it traces back to the origin of the yarn and fabric. If core fabrics and fibers originate from China and only cutting and sewing occur in Southeast Asia, customs may still classify the product as Chinese-origin, denying tariff preferences.

Industrial Impact

The danger of the origin trap lies in its subtlety. Companies may lose their initial investment in relocation and face back taxes or cargo detention. Vietnam and Bangladesh lack upstream supporting industries, making full local supply chains difficult in the short term—a real weakness and an advantage for Chinese fabric suppliers.

For enterprises, this means the "China+1" strategy must evolve into "full-chain compliance." Considering only labor costs while ignoring material origin compliance is a trap. In the ongoing supply chain restructuring, garment assembly is shifting overseas, but China's upstream raw material and fabric industries remain competitive. Companies should leverage global presence while understanding trade rules to avoid hidden origin barriers.

Practical Recommendations

For Buyers - Verify that suppliers hold complete certificates of origin, especially traceability chains for yarn and fabric. - Include origin compliance clauses in contracts, requiring suppliers to compensate for tariff losses due to origin misclassification. - Prefer suppliers with dual compliance (Chinese materials + overseas assembly) or consider sourcing fabrics from third countries to mitigate risks.

For Exporters - Obtain advance origin rulings from professional agencies before shipping to confirm product origin classification. - Maintain complete electronic archives of material sourcing, processing steps, and documentation for customs inspections. - When evaluating overseas expansion, calculate not only labor costs but also compliance costs and potential risks; adjust supply chain structure if necessary, such as investing in yarn or fabric production in Southeast Asia.

资料来源:全球纺织网查看原始资料
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