In the last week of August 2026, the textile raw material market drew a clear industrial watershed with a set of contrasting data: the three major polyester filament yarn varieties collectively strengthened, with POY rising 2.00% to 8,767.5 yuan/ton, DTY and FDY following with gains of 1.76% and 1.70% respectively. Meanwhile, upstream acrylonitrile plunged 4.46% in a single week, and PTA fell 3.67%. Within the same week, the directions of rises and falls were completely opposite, and the magnitudes both exceeded 1.5 percentage points, which is uncommon in recent months.

Event Background

The rise in polyester filament yarn is not an isolated event. From a year-on-year perspective, POY, DTY, and FDY are 24.25%, 21.66%, and 21.81% higher than the same period last year, indicating that current prices are in a high range over the past year. Meanwhile, nylon series also maintained a moderate upward trend, with nylon DTY rising 0.97% weekly and POY up 0.86%, with year-on-year gains of 16.9% and 21.37% respectively. Viscose staple fiber and viscose spun yarn also recorded positive returns, with increases of 0.42% and 0.69%.

In contrast, the decline in upstream raw materials is particularly glaring. Acrylonitrile fell from 11,966.67 yuan/ton to 11,433.33 yuan/ton within the week, a single-week drop of 4.46%, but still 44.12% higher year-on-year—indicating that the previous gains were excessive and the current correction is a high-level adjustment. PTA is similar, although it fell 3.67% weekly, it is still up 26.54% year-on-year. Polyester staple fiber fell slightly by 0.96%, contrasting with the strength of filament yarn.

Industrial Impact

This pattern of "strong filament, weak staple, and upstream raw material correction" reflects the redistribution of profits along the industrial chain. The rise in polyester filament yarn prices is driven by downstream weaving enterprises' restocking demand on the one hand, and on the other hand, it reflects polyester plants' proactive price increases after cost pressure eased. The decline in PTA prices directly reduced polyester production costs, allowing more profit margins for filament plants, while filament prices did not fall but rose instead, meaning that profits are shifting from the PTA segment to the polyester segment.

The sharp drop in acrylonitrile needs to be understood from both supply and demand sides. The previous high prices suppressed purchasing intentions of downstream acrylic fiber and ABS resin, while expectations of new capacity releases further intensified bearish sentiment. For acrylic fiber yarn enterprises relying on acrylonitrile, lower raw material costs should be a positive, but if terminal demand remains weak, cost dividends are difficult to convert into actual profits.

Raw silk prices rose 0.85% weekly to 427,500 yuan/ton, but still fell 9.16% year-on-year, indicating that the silkworm industry chain is still in a recovery channel. Cotton lint rose slightly by 0.06%, while cotton yarn 21S and 32S prices remained flat, suggesting a stalemate in the cotton spinning sector—upstream cotton cost support and downstream order insufficiency pull against each other. Spandex remained flat for consecutive weeks, with a year-on-year increase of 21.65%, reflecting stable demand for elastic fibers.

Practical Recommendations

For Purchasers - Polyester filament yarn is strong in the short term; if order cycles are within 1-2 weeks, moderately lock in prices to avoid further upside risks during the peak season. - The decline in acrylonitrile may continue; adopt a "small batches, high frequency" strategy for acrylic raw material purchases to wait for lower prices. - Monitor the price spread between PTA and polyester filament yarn; if the spread widens, consider signing long-term agreements with polyester plants to lock in processing fees.

For Foreign Trade Enterprises - Export quotes for polyester fabrics can be appropriately raised, but assess overseas clients' acceptance; use a "cost-plus" approach in communication. - For acrylonitrile-based products (such as acrylic yarn), emphasize the price advantage brought by lower raw material costs to win new orders. - Closely watch RMB exchange rate and sea freight fluctuations; with filament prices up over 20% year-on-year, reserve a buffer in quotes for exchange rate fluctuations.

资料来源:中华纺织网查看原始资料
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