On September 1, the spot price of polyester staple fiber in Jiangsu jumped 180 yuan per ton, with the mainstream trading center rising to 8,080 yuan, ranging from 8,000 to 8,150 yuan, and low-end supply at 7,900-7,950 yuan. This increase far exceeds recent daily fluctuations, driven by strong cost pressure rather than sudden demand recovery. For downstream textile mills, this means the procurement window is narrowing, and cost pressure will cascade through yarn and fabric segments.
Cost Transmission Mechanism
Polyester staple fiber's direct raw materials are PTA and MEG, both of which have strengthened over the past two weeks, rapidly pushing up the production cost line. The spot price increase of 180 yuan is basically in line with raw material gains, but processing margins have not expanded. Industry data shows that current processing profits remain near breakeven, indicating that the price hike is cost-push rather than profit-recovery.
This transmission logic has direct implications for buyers: if PTA and MEG remain strong, prices may rise further; conversely, if costs ease, prices could correct downward because demand does not provide sufficient support.
Regional Price Spreads and Supply Pattern
Jiangsu is a major production base for polyester staple fiber, and its spot prices serve as a benchmark. After this increase, the price gap with Fujian and Zhejiang has narrowed, but cross-regional arbitrage space still exists. For traders, low-priced supply at 7,900-7,950 yuan mostly comes from earlier locked contracts or small plant inventories, with limited availability.
More importantly, strong costs are altering plant operating decisions. Some plants with tight cash flow may reduce operating rates or schedule maintenance to offset losses from rising raw materials. This suggests a potential supply contraction in the short term, further supporting prices. However, if downstream weaving mills reduce purchases due to high costs, supply-demand dynamics may enter a standoff.
Impact on Downstream Industrial Clusters
Polyester staple fiber is a key raw material for yarn, nonwovens, and home textile filling. This price increase will directly raise production costs for pure polyester yarn and polyester-cotton blends. Weaving enterprises in Shengze and Nantong will face pressure from inverted raw material and finished product prices. For small and medium factories competing on low prices, profit margins will be further squeezed, and order-taking willingness may decline.
Foreign trade companies need to be wary of the disconnect between delivery and pricing. If export orders use forward pricing and raw material costs continue to rise before delivery, companies may face losses. It is recommended to include raw material price linkage clauses in contracts or use hedging to lock in costs.
